Showing posts with label imagining the future. Show all posts
Showing posts with label imagining the future. Show all posts

Wednesday, April 15, 2020

Day 3765

This is an amazing time to be alive. I don't even think we realize the magnitude of the changes we are going through right now. I may be wrong, but I think the history books will record this moment kind of like the start of the Industrial Revolution, or the end of the Middle Ages. When was the last time the entire world was experiencing the same threat at the same time? I don't think it has ever happened before.

In an odd way I feel vindicated. I was aloof and kept my distance long before social distancing became a thing. I was way ahead of the curve in running a business out of my home as well. Ditto for bringing manufacturing home and not depending on China. I've been wary of globalism for as long as I can remember. My reluctance to embrace a global society had nothing to do with avoiding a plague. It just seemed to make sense. I watched the computer industry make the shift from centralized mainframes to distributed computing and the birth of the cloud. Having a multitude of nodes made systems failsafe.

Why didn't the entire world operate like the Internet? It is almost impossible to break the Internet. Nothing is centralized and nobody is in charge. If a server goes down, data is automatically rerouted on a different path. The network fixes itself. Having manufacturing countries like China send goods on a one way path to consuming countries like the United States seemed a lot like the old fashioned mainframe computing model to me. What we really needed was a lot of little countries, all making their own stuff and following their own rules. If one country fails, the others just keep chugging along.

So here we are. Everyone is clamoring to bring back essential industries to the United States. Virtually every country in the world is shutting their borders. Nobody feels comfortable getting too close to strangers. What is going to happen when none of this feels strange anymore? I think society has fundamentally changed. The longer the world remains in lockdown, the more permanent the changes will become.

I wouldn't want to be in the commercial real estate business right now. A lot of people aren't going to want to return to an office and a lot of companies aren't going to want the expense of a large office if they don't need it. I read recently that NASA is now operating the Curiosity Rover from team member's homes. Jeez. If you can drive a Mars rover from your bedroom, I'd say you don't really need to go to to the office for a status meeting.

Do you ever look down when you are flying across the United States? It's mostly empty. Why are we still living in cities? Cities are obsolete. The virus is proving that it's not that good to live all bunched together. We could spread out and all have nice homes with several acres of land. There's plenty of room. Little factories and research labs could provide jobs almost anywhere. Amazon drones could bring your stuff directly to your front door. Telemedicine could provide access to good doctors even if you lived in the middle of nowhere. Crime would diminish when there are no victims nearby. It all sounds pretty good to me. Some of you might be lonely, but not me.

Our new forehead thermometer arrived today. Now that taking your temperature has become a thing, we couldn't remember which of our thermometers had been up a dog's butt. This new toy will take care of that. Janet and I weeded a messy front garden this afternoon. Some of the weeds were the size of small trees. Oh, well. Better late than never. The cleanup effort was a lot of work but it was oddly satisfying. The area looks great now. I may add a layer of smooth river rocks to make the garden look a little more polished.

I'm not sure what we'll do tomorrow. Whatever it is, it's a safe bet that there'll be plenty of time.

Krissy is today's Dalmatian of the Day
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Friday, April 10, 2020

Day 3760

I saw something interesting today. Google and Apple are teaming up to create a new app that can monitor up to three billion people and warn them if someone who has tested positive for the coronavirus is nearby. This is the death of privacy as we know it. Three billion people is one third of the entire world's population. The app is real and will very likely be available on your phone quite soon. I predict that this app will be very popular. I'll probably use it myself. Safety, or even the illusion of safety, almost always trumps civil liberties. Privacy actually disappeared quite a while ago. Google and Facebook know everything about us already. This new app just lets us eagerly opt in to a surveillance state that is already up and running in China.

It won't be long before people realize that others can easily be added to the master database. Sex offenders will be added first. Then will come a long list of people that everyone will argue about for years. Should people with a history of domestic violence be on the list? How about anyone who has committed a felony. There will be all sorts of lawsuits but nobody will be able to put the genie back in the bottle. Eventually commercial interests will want to get in on the action. If bad things can be tracked, why not good things. Match.com will introduce an app where your phone beeps when a suitable match walks nearby. Parents will be able to monitor their children and see if they are hanging around with the wrong crowd.

I'm convinced that the deaths from the coronavirus are only the tip of the iceberg. The big experiment we are undertaking now will fundamentally change society. We won't know for years whether we actually did the right thing. When you begin to suspect that anybody walking past you on the street could kill you just by breathing, I doubt that we will go back to trusting people very soon. Are you going to flinch when the first person who isn't a trusted friend tries to give you a hug? Our own country might fare worse than other countries because we are so politically divided. Jeez. We already don't trust anyone who doesn't agree with us. This virus will only make things worse.

I'm so glad I grew up when the world was comparatively normal. The duck and cover drills and backyard fallout shelters that were common when I was in grade school were nothing compared to this. I don't think that there had been a time in human history when we collectively decided to shut the entire world down. Even during the worst of both World Wars, society was still moving full speed ahead. This is new. It will be interesting to see what happens.

I can't wait to return to McDonald Observatory or get another chance to walk around on the pad at Launch Complex 41. Neither of these activities involve interacting with a lot of other people. Astronomy has always been a lonely profession and launch access at Kennedy Space Center is extremely restricted. I'm not looking forward to Happy Hour drinks or a night of clubbing, but I would like life to return to normal. Everyone has their own version of normal. A functioning society wasn't meant to live like this and at some point the cure will be worse than the disease.

I hope that all of you are staying safe. I'm enjoying getting to know Dawn better and am glad that she is completely unaware of how much the world has changed. I don't do much, but I'm going to continue as many of my normal habits and routines as I possible can. A sense of normalcy is important in uncertain times. I hope my phone doesn't start beeping the next time I see some of you.

Apollo is today's Dalmatian of the Day
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